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По итогам промежуточных выборов в Конгресс можно заметить, что самолет Байдена до конца не взлетел, но и не разбился. Сохранение большинства в Сенате, который утверждает назначения на должности в администрации президента, гарантирует продолжение курса администрации, даже если он будет находится под атакой со стороны республиканского большинства в Палате представителей.



От самолетов пора переходить к ракетам.

The Pentagon is preparing to send the Patriot missile system to Ukraine, senior U.S. officials said Tuesday, a move that would provide the government in Kyiv with the most advanced air defense weapon in the American arsenal as Russia carries out an unrelenting assault on the country’s electrical grid.
The plan is not yet approved by President Biden or Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, but it could be soon, the officials said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to detail sensitive internal deliberations. It would fulfill one of Ukraine’s biggest and most frequent requests of Washington, and follows weeks of Russian bombardment that has plunged much of the country into cold and darkness as winter takes hold.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/12/13/patriot-missile-defense-ukraine/

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Пара новостей, напомнивших о прошлых событиях.

1. Даг Дженсен, последователь культа QAnon из штата Айова, ставший лицом Пути-путча 6 января 2021, предстал перед судом присяжных и был признан виновным по всем пунктам обвинения.  По совокупности наказаний ему может грозить больше 50 лет заключения. Тюремный срок (менее суровый, но немалый) назначат в декабре.

Jensen was found guilty of five felony offenses: assaulting, resisting, or impeding a law enforcement officer, obstruction of an official proceeding, interfering with a law enforcement officer during a civil disorder, entering and remaining in a restricted building or grounds with a dangerous weapon, and disorderly and disruptive conduct in a restricted building or grounds with a dangerous weapon. He also was found guilty of the misdemeanor offenses of disorderly conduct in a Capitol building, and parading, demonstrating, or picketing in a Capitol building.
Jensen is to be sentenced on Dec. 16, 2022. The felony charges carry a total statutory maximum of 53 years in prison and potential financial penalties. The misdemeanor offenses carry a combined statutory maximum of one year of incarceration and potential financial penalties. The Court will determine any sentence after considering the U.S. Sentencing Guidelines and other statutory factors.

https://www.justice.gov/usao-dc/pr/iowa-man-found-guilty-felony-and-misdemeanor-charges-related-capitol-breach

Дженсен бежал впереди толпы, одной из первых прорвавшихся в Капитолий, и искал там вице-президента Пенса. Он был близок к входу в зал заседаний Сената, но умелым маневром полицейский по имени Юджин Гудман (позже награжденный за это Золотой медалью Конгресса) увел его вместе со всей толпой в другую сторону https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eugene_Goodman


Интересные подробности о радикализации осужденного Дженсена всплыли в его показаниях ФБР. Он признался, что изначально был демократом, голосовал за Обаму и собирался в 2016 проголосовать за Хиллари Клинтон. Но был сбит с толку Интернет-пропагандой, основанной на сливах Викиликс (почты, взломанной хакерами ГРУ) и постепенно скатился в конспирологию, культ Трампа и QAnon.

The transcript is a tough read. It reveals (as the court filings associated with many of the January 6 defendants do) the urgency with which the US needs to address mental health treatment. It reveals how Trump’s propagandists won the allegiance of a blue collar union member who had previously voted Democratic.
But most vividly, it reveals how Jensen got radicalized into QAnon. And that started — as he repeatedly describes — from the files stolen from John Podesta released by WikiLeaks in advance of the 2016 election. He planned to vote for Hillary (!!!) until he came to believe the misrepresentations he read (pushed, in significant part, by accused Proud Boy leader Joe Biggs) of the Podesta files. When the flow of Podesta files ended, Jensen was left with a void, which Q drops filled shortly thereafter. After that, Jensen came to believe Trump’s lies that he had been shafted by the Deep State, by some guy (Peter Strzok) and his girlfriend whose name he couldn’t remember. Perhaps as a result, Jensen came to believe of Putin that, “this guy don’t seem so bad, you know.” <...>
This is a narrative of how an information operation started by Russia six years ago continues to poison American politics, up to and including persuading Americans to affiliate with the architect of that information operation.

https://www.emptywheel.net/2022/04/12/where-was-doug-jensen-radicalized-russias-2016-election-tampering/

Таким образом путинская атака на американские выборы не только повлияла на чашу весов в 2016, но и внесла свой вклад в атаку на Капитолий в 2021, отравив мозги некоторым из ее участников.

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Знаменитый фокусник Рэнди Джеймс ("Amazing Randi") прославился разоблачением разного рода шарлатанов. Эта деятельность иногда напоминала ношение воды в решете - успешное разоблачение, к примеру,  не уменьшило число зрителей на представлениях мошенника Юрия Геллера, гнущего ложки силой мысли. Тем не менее эта деятельность помогала пропагандировать научный подход к знанию ни традиции американского трезвомыслия.

During the late ’60s and early ’70s, popular interest in the paranormal grew: There was a fascination with extrasensory perception and the Bermuda Triangle and best sellers like “Chariots of the Gods,” which claimed Earth’s ancient civilizations were visited by aliens. There were mystics, mind-readers and psychic surgeons, who were said to be able to extract tumors from their patients using only their bare hands — and without leaving a mark. Randi continued on his crusade. Few of his fellow illusionists were interested in exposing the way that conjuring tricks were used to dupe gullible audiences into believing in psychic abilities. “Everybody else just kind of rolled their eyes,” Penn Jillette, a good friend of Randi’s, told me. “'Why is Randi spending all this time doing this? We all know there is no ESP. It’s just stupid people believe it, and that’s fine.’ ”
https://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/09/magazine/the-unbelievable-skepticism-of-the-amazing-randi.html

Рэнди стал родоначальником движения скептиков, которое в конце 2000ых частично слилось с движением "новых атеистов", вдохновленных книжками вроде "The God Delusion" Ричарда Докинза или "God Is Not Great: How Religion Poisons Everything" Кристофера Хитченса.



По иронии судьбы личная жизнь разоблачителя мошенников оказалась связана с мошенничеством. в 2010 Рэнди в возрасте 81 год "вышел из клозета" и признался в гомосексуальности, а на следующий год его партнер (позже супруг) был арестован за то, что жил под чужим именем по поддельным документам.

Randi was all but marooned in the house — he was forbidden to drive while he awaited cataract surgery — and Alvarez had been forced to surrender his driver’s license, after a series of events that began on Sept. 8, 2011. That morning there was a knock on the front door. When Randi opened it, a pair of federal agents stood before him. They asked to speak to Alvarez. Outside, Randi could see two unmarked S.U.V.s blocking the driveway and at least half a dozen agents surrounding the perimeter of the property. When Alvarez came downstairs from his room, the agents explained there was a problem. They wanted to talk to him about passport fraud. They cuffed him and took him out to the car. Randi was left alone in the house, holding business cards from State Department agents, who, Randi said, gave him instructions to wait 24 hours before calling them.
The agents took Alvarez directly to Broward County Jail, where he was photographed, issued a gray uniform and registered as FNU LNU: “first name unknown, last name unknown.” In an interview room at the jail, he told an agent everything: He had fled homophobic persecution in Venezuela and had come to the U.S. on a two-year student visa. He met Randi and knew he wanted to stay with him. But when his visa expired, there was no way to renew it. He said he was given the name and Social Security number of José Alvarez by a friend in a Fort Lauderdale nightclub, and used it to apply for a passport in 1987. Alvarez told the agent he was deeply sorry for the trouble he had caused the real Alvarez — who he believed was dead but turned out to be a teacher’s aide living in the Bronx. FNU LNU said his real name was Deyvi Orangel Peña Arteaga.
Charged with making a false statement in the application and use of a passport and aggravated identity theft, Peña faced a $250,000 fine, a sentence of up to 10 years in prison and deportation to Venezuela. After six weeks in jail, he was released on a $500,000 bond, and he subsequently agreed to plead guilty to a single charge of passport fraud. At a sentencing hearing in May 2012, the judge considered letters of support from Randi and Peña’s friends from the world of art, science and entertainment, including Richard Dawkins and Penn Jillette, as well as from members of charities to which Peña had given his time and work. The judge considered Peña’s long relationship with Randi, and Randi’s failing health. He gave him a lenient sentence: time served, six months’ house arrest and 150 hours’ community service.
But Peña still had to contend with the immigration authorities. After the sentencing hearing, he had been home for five days when Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents appeared at the door. “Say goodbye,” they told him. Peña assured Randi he would be back that afternoon. He was taken to the Krome detention center in Miami, and remained there while his lawyer tried to find a way of keeping him in the United States. After two months of incarceration, Peña was finally released from Krome on the evening of Aug. 2, 2012, to find that Randi had spent half the day waiting outside the front gate for him. The couple were married in a ceremony in Washington the following summer.
Today, Peña remains on probation and no longer holds any identity documents except a Venezuelan passport with his birth name. United States immigration authorities have agreed not to deport him for now, but he has no formal immigration status in the United States: were he to leave the country, he would be unable to return.

https://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/09/magazine/the-unbelievable-skepticism-of-the-amazing-randi.html

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Монументальная книга "Капитал и идеология" (Capital et Idéologie) французского экономиста Тома Пикетти переворачивает Маркса с головы на ноги, доказывая, что идеология играет роль не просто "надстройки над базисом", а ключевого фактора в распределении капитала и формировании классовых отношений в обществе.

The book is both a history of the world and a theory of history. Every society is unequal, and therefore constitutes an “inequality regime” maintained not solely by force but also by ideology: “Each inequality regime is associated with a corresponding theory of justice. Inequalities need to be justified; they must rest on a plausible, coherent vision of an ideal social and political organization.” Most of the book is a history of how those ideologies have helped bolster social structures characterized by extreme inequality, from feudal and slave societies through colonial regimes to the hypercapitalist world of today.
Where Marx consigned ideology to the “superstructure” of a system driven by economic class conflict, Piketty claims for it a central role. At key points in history when one regime breaks down, he argues, what comes next depends on the ability of different political actors to formulate a new vision of how society should be organized.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/the-american-ideology-on-the-left-and-the-right-that-props-up-inequality/2020/05/22/3825b72e-987e-11ea-89fd-28fb313d1886_story.html



Предыдущий монументальный труд Пикетти "Капитал в 21ом веке" (Le Capital au XXIe siècle) стал международным бестселлером и привлек внимание широкой публике к проблеме имущественного неравенства. Поскольку рост экономики в развитых странах (около 1%) не успевает за ростом вложений капитала (около 5%), богатые продолжают богатеть в отрыве от бедных, по формуле Пикетти r > g.

Рецепт решения проблемы известен и опробован - прогрессивное налогооблажение и государственное инвестирование в расширение возможностей для образования и занятости тех, кому не повезло с богатыми родителями. Подобные идеи, однако, не находят поддержки среди традиционных левых партий и их избирателей - о чем свидетельствует провал Корбина в Великобритании и Сандерса в США. Поклонникам Пикетти остается надеяться на то, что пролетариат наконец протрезвеет и поймет, что нападки на иммигрантов, которыми его старательно кормит ультраправая пропаганда, никоим образом не приводят к его собственному благополучию.

Марксистское объединение "пролетариев всех стран" остается актуальным. Успешное налогооблажение требует не только реформ в отдельно взятых странах, но и международного сотрудничества - иначе в глобальном мире корпорациям и их владельцам слишком легко уклоняться от налогов и прятать концы в офшорах. Раздуваемые ветры националистической лихорадки дополнительно мешают подобному сотрудничеству.

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До того, как появилось пресловутое открытое письмо в Harper's, обращенное непонятно к кому и призывающее непонятно к чему, было открытое письмо Anti-Defamation League о кампании "Stop Hate for Profit". Акции призывает компании, размещающие рекламу в Фейсбук, воздержаться от этого в течении одного месяца (июля 2020), чтобы вынудить Фейсбук принять меры к распространителям ненависти и лживых теорий заговора. Идее кампании помогло обращение Сашы Бэрон-Коэна.

"If civil society can expect civil discourse in the public square, then why not on the social spaces we inhabit online, where arguably the majority of public speech is taking place today?
Luckily, given where Facebook is now, improvement is not that hard: Clamp down on common misinformation and conspiracies. Stop recommending hate. Make a number of clear, common-sense changes to ameliorate and mitigate hate - we’ve made a list. Provide human beings to help people when they are being brutally harassed.
But while those steps are easy, we’ve learned that Facebook won’t take this seriously unless forced. So we invite businesses and all people of good conscience to join us, our partners, and the companies that have signed on already. Together, we can make sure that Facebook is good not only for advertisers, but also for society."
https://www.adl.org/news/letters/an-open-letter-to-the-companies-that-advertise-on-facebook



В объяснении существуюших проблем с Фейсбуком на сайте "Stop Hate for Profit" говорится: "Large groups dedicated to hate and violent conspiracies grow unchecked, and Facebook often recommends users join these groups. Political ads contain bald-faced lies, and even outright voter suppression. Misinformation and conspiracies on COVID-19, vaccines, climate change and the Holocaust are considered matters of debate." https://www.stophateforprofit.org/faq

Следует сравнить с заявлением письма в Harper's "The restriction of debate, whether by a repressive government or an intolerant society, invariably hurts those who lack power and makes everyone less capable of democratic participation. The way to defeat bad ideas is by exposure, argument, and persuasion, not by trying to silence or wish them away."
https://harpers.org/a-letter-on-justice-and-open-debate/

После этого становится понятным, кому понадобилось это письмо. Руководство Фейсбука пока не поддается давлению "intolerant society" и не собирается осуществлять изменений, которых от него требуют правозащитники.

"It was abundantly clear in our meeting today that Mark Zuckerberg and the Facebook team is not yet ready to address the vitriolic hate on their platform. Zuckerberg offered the same old defense of white supremacist, antisemitic, Islamophobic and other hateful groups on Facebook that the Stop Hate For Profit Coalitions, advertisers and society at large have heard too many times before. Instead of actually responding to the demands of dozens of the platform’s largest advertisers that have joined the #StopHateForProfit ad boycott during the month of July, Facebook wants us to accept the same old rhetoric, repackaged as a fresh response.
The only recommendation they even attempted to address is hiring a civil rights position but were unable to commit to the crucial piece of the position being at the C-suite level or what the requirements for the position will be. However, they offered no attempt to respond to the other nine recommendations. Zuckerberg offered no automatic recourse for advertisers whose content runs alongside hateful posts. He had no answer for why Facebook recommends hateful groups to users. He refused to agree to provide an option for victims of hate and harassment to connect with a live Facebook representative. He declined to adopt common-sense content moderation policies and practices like the ones put forward by the Change the Terms coalition, or develop a process to ensure that their terms of service are fairly applied and do not bend to political expediency. And he did not offer any tangible plans on how Facebook will address the rampant disinformation and violent conspiracies on its platform. Instead, he offered a retread of the same old talking points from last week – tweaks around the edges – with no details or timelines around the MRC audit they have touted, with only the barest minimum of labeling misinformation in political speech, with a Civil Rights audit we asked for years ago, and empty refrains of we are trying.
None of this is hard, especially for one of the world’s most innovative companies whose founder coined the term move fast and break things. Mark Zuckerberg, you aren’t breaking things, you are breaking people. With a stroke of a pen, you could make Facebook better for your users, your advertisers, and society. We hope that you continue thinking about the consequences of what you have wrought and come back to the table soon with real change."
https://naacp.org/latest/statement-stop-hate-profit-meeting-facebook/

Как и в случае Fox News, издержки от потери рекламодателей окупаются олигархической близостью к власти.

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Вирус

Mar. 16th, 2020 03:29 pm
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Из выступления Билла Гейтса на Мюнхенской конференции по безопасности в феврале 2017:

"Whether it occurs by a quirk of nature or at the hand of a terrorist, epidemiologists say a fast-moving airborne pathogen could kill more than 30 million people in less than a year. And they say there is a reasonable probability the world will experience such an outbreak in the next 10-15 years.
It's hard to get your mind around a catastrophe of that scale, but it happened not that long ago. In 1918, a particularly virulent and deadly strain of flu killed between 50 million and 100 million people.
You might be wondering how likely these doomsday scenarios really are. The fact that a deadly global pandemic has not occurred in recent history shouldn't be mistaken for evidence that a deadly pandemic will not occur in the future. <...>
Imagine if I told you that somewhere in this world, there's a weapon that exists—or that could emerge—capable of killing tens of thousands, or millions, of people, bringing economies to a standstill, and throwing nations into chaos.
You would say that we need to do everything possible to gather intelligence and develop effective countermeasures to reduce the threat.
That is the situation we face today with biological threats. We may not know if that weapon is man-made or a product of nature. But one thing we can be almost certain of. A highly lethal global pandemic will occur in our lifetimes."
https://www.gatesfoundation.org/Media-Center/Speeches/2017/05/Bill-Gates-Munich-Security-Conference



Нельзя сказать, чтобы выступление Гейтса осталось полностью незамеченным. Washington Post опубликовала по этому поводу редакционную статью.

"BILL GATES, the world's richest man, who has devoted much of his philanthropy to improving global public health, gave a speech the other day at the Munich Security Conference that should have caught everyone's attention. Mr. Gates insisted that world leaders think differently about public health and national security. They should listen."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/when-nature-is-a-terrorist/2017/02/23/57bed82e-f942-11e6-bf01-d47f8cf9b643_story.html

Гейтс также приходил в Белый дом разговаривать с Трампом.

MR. SPICER: In regard to the news of the day, this morning, after receiving his daily intelligence briefing, the President met with Bill Gates, the co-chair and trustee of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. The President and Mr. Gates talked about their shared commitment to finding and stopping disease outbreaks around the world. The President particularly commended Mr. Gates for the Gates Foundation’s work in global health and health security.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/press-briefing-press-secretary-sean-spicer-03-20-17/

Но послание со свистом пролетело мимо ушей.

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Занимательный документальный сериал Андрея Лошака "Холивар"рассказывает про историю российского Интернета (Рунета). За четверть века много всего произошло - от ранних любительских сайтов, через успешные компании вроде Яндекса, сложные взаимоотношение с властями и т.д. В последней на сегодня серии рассказывается про увлечение YouTube, с его свободой создания видео-контента и новыми звездами. Возникает даже некоторый оптимизм про новое поколение.



Одна из загадочных историй успеха YouTube - зарегистрированная на Кипре компания The Soul Publishing, созданная предпринимателями из Казани Павлом Радаевым и Маратом Мухаметовым.

Канал 5-Minute Crafts появился на YouTube 15 ноября 2016 года, на следующий день на нем был размещен первый видеоролик, специализация канала — необычные советы (как из вилок сделать вешалку, прищепкой зачистить провода, резинкой выкрутить шуруп, ниткой разрезать торт и т. п.). За три года канал набрал 15 млрд просмотров и 60 млн подписчиков и занял 3-е место по числу подписчиков всего YouTube. В 2017–2018 годах у 5-Minute Crafts появилось еще 10 каналов-«родственников»: 5-Minute для детей, 5-Minute для семьи, 5-Minute для девушек и пр.
Таким образом за пару лет два приятеля из Казани Павел Радаев и Марат Мухаметов соорудили в интернете «вечный двигатель», приносящий им десятки миллионов долларов в год. Общее число подписчиков на их контент в Facebook — 230 млн, на YouTube — более 300 млн человек. На этих платформах ежемесячно размещается 1500 роликов более чем на 17 языках. Радаев и Мухаметов живут и работают на Кипре, с прессой не общаются.

https://www.forbes.ru/biznes/384229-stanok-pechatayushchiy-dengi-v-youtube-kak-dva-priyatelya-iz-kazani-sozdali

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Руководители разведки и национальной безопасности появились сегодня на брифинге Белого дома с серьезными заявлениями о продолжающемся российском вмешательстве в американскую политику и в американские выборы и о намерении с этим бороться.



Это несколько оттенило другое важное событие - межпартийная группа сенаторов-тяжеловесов внесла новый законопроект об антипутинских санкциях.

U.S. Senators Bob Menendez (D-N.J.), Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), Cory Gardner (R-CO), Ben Cardin (D-MD), John McCain (R-AZ) and Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) introduced the Defending American Security from Kremlin Aggression Act of 2018, comprehensive legislation that will increase economic, political, and diplomatic pressure on the Russian Federation in response to Russia’s continued interference in our elections, malign influence in Syria, aggression in Crimea, and other activities.
“Vladimir Putin continues to pose a growing threat to our country and allies. While Congress overwhelmingly passed a strong set of countermeasures last year, unfortunately, the Administration has not fully complied with that legislation. This bill is the next step in tightening the screws on the Kremlin and will bring to bear the full condemnation of the United States Congress so that Putin finally understands that the U.S. will not tolerate his behavior any longer,” said Senator Menendez. “The Kremlin continues to attack our democracy, support a war criminal in Syria and violate Ukraine’s sovereignty. With the passage of this legislation, Congress will once again act to establish a clear U.S. policy to hold Russia accountable with one clear message: Kremlin aggression will be met with consequences that will shake Putin’s regime to its foundation.”
“The current sanctions regime has failed to deter Russia from meddling in the upcoming 2018 midterm elections,” said Senator Graham. “Our goal is to change the status quo and impose crushing sanctions and other measures against Putin’s Russia until he ceases and desists meddling in the US electoral process, halts cyber-attacks on US infrastructure, removes Russia from Ukraine, and ceases efforts to create chaos in Syria. The sanctions and other measures contained in this bill are the most hard-hitting ever imposed – and a direct result of Putin’s continued desire to undermine American democracy. I strongly believe that DNI Coats’ assessment – that the warning lights are blinking red when it comes to Russian meddling in the 2018 election – is accurate. These sanctions and other measures are designed to respond in the strongest possible fashion.”

https://www.menendez.senate.gov/news-and-events/press/menendez-graham-gardner-cardin-mccain-shaheen-introduce-hard-hitting-russia-sanctions-package

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